Reform’s support in Labour’s Red Wall since the election has increased from 18% to 30%, according to new data.
A new poll suggests voters in Labour’s Red Wall prefer Nigel Farage to Sir Keir Starmer (Image: Getty)
A new poll carried out in Labour‘s so-called Red Wall shows soaring support for Nigel Farage and Reform. The data, which comes ahead of next month’s local elections in May, also shows a fall in popularity for Labour among voters in the North-West, North-East, Yorkshire and Midlands.
Polling agency Survation spoke to voters in the regions, with the results published by The Sun. The data shows that Reform‘s support since the election has increased from 18% to 30%, while Labour‘s vote share has dropped from 39% to 27%. The Sun reports 44% of people surveyed believe Reform is the biggest threat to the Government, with the Tories picking up 26%.
The poll show’s Labour vote share in the Red Wall has decreased (Image: Getty)
In the North and Midlands, Sir Keir Starmer‘s net rating is -26% – with 27% approving of him and 53% disapproving.
Mr Farage is on -4 and Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch on -8, the data shows.
Mr Farage is ahead of the Tory leader and narrowly in front of Sir Keir when it comes down to who voters think will make the best Prime Minister.
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He also leads the PM on who best represents the views of working people.
Reform also has a 16-point lead over Labour on which party “represents real change” and Mr Farage is ahead on who “can fix immigration”.
The Sun reports for where local elections in the North and Midlands are taking place next month, Reform as it stands would get 29% of the vote, with Labour and the Tories receiving 20% and 24% respectively.
The research also shows the cost of living is the most important issue for people when deciding how they will vote in May.
Survation CEO Damian Lyons-Lowe told The Sun that the polling suggests Reform is “likely to cause huge disruption to the status quo across the Midlands and the North”.
Daniel Friderichs of Friderichs Advisory Partners, who commissioned the survey told The Sun that Mr Farage is a “clear threat” to Sir Keir‘s premiership.
Voters in 23 local authorities in England go the polls on May 1 to choose their new councillors in what is the first big test at the ballot box for political parties since Labour’s general election win in July 2024.
Analysis shows Reform is standing more candidates in the elections than either Labour or the Conservatives.
However, no party has been able to find enough candidates to contest every seat.
There are no scheduled elections taking place on May 1 in Scotland, Wales or Northern Ireland.
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