For years, successive parties led by Mr Farage have failed to make meaningful gains in the capital, which has long been viewed as a Labour ‘stronghold’, which voted overwhelmingly to back remain in the Brexit referendum. But speaking to the Daily Mail, Mr Farage said that he believed his party had a “very real chance” of winning in several boroughs across London.

It was reported that the insurgent political party will be targeting the Conservative-held Boroughs of Bromley and Bexley, as well as the independently held Havering Council, and Labour-held Barking and Dagenham.

The news comes ahead of a planned launch of the party’s London campaign next month [January], and polling suggesting that the Labour vote in the capital is splitting in central London to Zack Polanski’s Green party and other left-wing groups.

“Labour are going to find their vote horrendously split,” Mr Farage told the Daily Mail. “With the Greens, and Corbyn and the Gaza independents. All these different people. There is a chance that Labour vote really gets hit.”

Mr Polanski, who became leader of the Green Party earlier this year, has more than doubled the membership of the resurgent left-wing movement, and, on social media, has frequently criticised Labour and Reform.

But the Reform leader claimed that the rise of the Green Party meant that Starmer faced “immense” problems in May. Likening the elections to the US midterms, where the House of Representatives faces an all-out election in the middle of a Presidential term, he said that Reform was “going for gold”.

He attacked both the Conservative Party and Labour’s record on crime across London, saying that the city was in “big, big, big, big trouble”.

Mr Farage said that law and order in the city was “at the heart of our campaign.”

He said “crime is everywhere” and Sadiq’s record is one of “almost not caring about it.”

Mr Farage added that “87% of police stations in London closed under the Conservatives.”

The Reform UK leader said that he didn’t know “anybody in London” who hadn’t been a victim of crime.

He also claimed that the Police were “just not interested” in responding to mobile phone thefts. Mr Farage claimed that he had a relative whose phone was stolen. The device, which he claimed had a tracker on it, was reported stolen and the police “did nothing”.

Mr Farage also told the Daily Mail that he intends to adopt the “broken windows” strategy, which was used by former Republican Mayor of New York, Rudy Giuliani. Mr Giuliani was Mayor in the 1990s, and reduced crime across the city, taking what the Mail described as a “zero tolerance” to minor offences.

The Reform UK leader said that his party would introduce a “radical change” to how offences like shoplifting and mobile phone theft are handled. He said that “you can now shoplift with impunity” adding that Reform believed “every single shoplifting case should be prosecuted – every single one”.

In 2025 there were more than 530,000 cases of shoplifting reported in the year to March, Only 18% of cases lead to an individual being charged. The British Retail Consortium (BRC) said they believed there to have been over 20 million cases across the country.

Mr Farage said that he admired Mr Giuliani and added that during his time working in the US, he “saw the most dangerous city in America become the safest city in America. We want to model ourselves on that.”

A spokesman for the Mayor of London rejected Mr Farage’s claims, saying there had been “22,000 fewer offences across the capital in the last year”.

The spokesman said: “There are some politicians and commentators who continue to denigrate London and talk our great city down, but the facts are showing a very different picture.”

They added that burglary, personal robbery, theft and vehicle crime had all fallen, with violence with injury and gun crime also down.

The spokesman said the results were “testament to the hard work of the Met Police who have been backed with record investment from City Hall to bear down on crime”.

But they acknowledged “there is still more to do” and said the Mayo would “continue to work with businesses, communities and the police to build on these reductions to deliver a safer London for everyone”.

Reform has seen several successes in by-elections across the country, and opinion polling suggests that the party is set to make considerable gains next May. Labour is predicted to lose control of Wales, and Reform is now polling in second place in Scotland.

“There is a genuine collapse in the Labour vote across the country,” Mr Farage told the Daily Mail.

Local elections are due to take place in May 2026, with the next Mayoral election not scheduled until 2028.

Both the Mayor has been approached for comment.