Nightmare for Labour and Tories as new poll shows them left with just 131 MPs between them
Reform UK is set to win a huge majority at the next general, with Labour heading for its worst defeat in almost a century, according to new polling.
Labour could win under 100 seats in the next general election, polling suggests (Image: Getty)
New polling has put Nigel Farage’s Reform UK on track for a huge majority at the next General Election, with Labour and the Conservative Party’s slice of the vote plummeting. A survey of 19,520 people by the think tank More in Common has estimated that Mr Farage’s right-wing party would win 373 seats if an election were held tomorrow. The former UKIP leader would become Prime Minister with a majority of 96, more than Boris Johnson‘s Conservative majority of 80 in 2019.
Meanwhile, the number of Labour representatives in the House of Commons would shrink to just 90, with the Tories raking in fewer votes than the Liberal Democrats, falling to just 41 MPs to Sir Ed Davey’s party’s 69. The polling, commissioned by The Times and carried out between August 8 and September 15, could indicate a huge shift in the UK electoral sphere and a complete upheaval of the country’s traditional mainstream politics.
Kemi Badenoch’s Conservative Party could ‘cease to exist as a meaningful political force’ (Image: Getty)
The revelation that Labour and the Conservatives‘ combined political presence could shrink to just 131 MPs, less than half of Reform’s predicted windfall, marks the first time that an outright majority has been forecast for Mr Farage’s party.
More in Common suggests that some of Sir Keir Starmer‘s cabinet’s highest-profile members, including Chancellor Rachel Reeves, Health Secretary Wes Streeting, and Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson, would lose their seats in the overhaul.
Luke Tryl, director of the pollster, said the findings showed the extent to which Mr Farage had “completely upended the political map of Britain”.
“From just five seats at the last election, our multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) poll suggests in an election tomorrow his party would command a majority close to 100,” he said.
“Meanwhile, Labour would fall from a triple-figure majority to a historic low of under 100 seats and the Tories would cease to exist as a meaningful political force.”
It follows a change of tack from the Prime Minister, who toughened his stance on Reform UK at the Labour Party Conference this weekend.
In an interview with the BBC in Liverpool, Mr Starmer said his party was battling the “fight of our lives” against Reform and criticised Mr Farage’s immigration policies as “racist” and “immoral”.
He also acknowledged that he would be “judged at the next election” on whether he has improved living standards, security and the NHS and pledged to “ensure that the United Kingdom is safe and secure” before the dissolution of Parliament in 2029.
