Nigel Farage’s insurgent party has soared to its highest vote share to date.
Nigel Farage would become Prime Minister if an election was held today, according to new polling (Image: Getty)
Reform UK would win 309 seats in parliament if a general election were held today, according to new polling that puts Nigel Farage‘s party at its highest vote share to date. The survey, carried out by YouGov on behalf of Sky News and The Times, put the party on its highest-ever vote of 29%, beating both Labour, at 22%, and the Conservatives at 17%. It comes after the insurgent party stormed last week’s local elections to win more than 600 council seats and steal the previously safe Labour seat of Runcorn and Helsby in a by- election. Reform also gained control of 10 councils and won two mayoral contests.
If a general election were held today, the polling suggests that Reform would gain 304 seats on its existing 5, Labour’s numbers would plummet by 274 to 137, and the Tories‘ would drop by 94 to just 27 seats—making them the fifth largest party in the House of Commons.
READ MORE: ‘Farage’s new migrants plan is genius and should have Starmer crying like baby’ [COMMENT]
Reform UK would storm a general election if it was held today (Image: Election Maps UK)
The predictions appear to put Nigel Farage on a safe path to Number 10 Downing Street in the instance of a snap election, with Reform’s numbers just 16 MPs short of an overall majority.
The findings also appear to support Farage’s argument that his party’s success in the May 1 elections signals the end of Britain’s two-party system – and could “supplant” the Tories as the main opposition to Labour.
Panicked politicians in the country’s two main parties have come under pressure to win back disillusioned voters, including calls for the Government to backtrack on its controversial change to the winter fuel allowance.
Reform’s record polling high puts it three points above the Brexit Party’s best-ever result in 2019, when the Tories also fell by three percentage points after Theresa May resigned, and before Boris Johnson won the leadership election.
Don’t miss…
Starmer set for disaster in Welsh elections as Labour crashes into third [REPORT]
Tories in fourth place in nightmare poll ahead of election [REPORT]
Lee Anderson’s 7-word slap down after after strange Reform by-election claim [REPORT]
Trending
The survey also put the Liberal Democrats on track to win a total of 89 seats in the Commons, while the SNP would take 48. Scottish First Minister John Swinney said this week that there was a “very real possibility” that Farage could be the UK’s next Prime Minister, describing it as a “fearful” prospect.
He told the PA News Agency: “I think Labour and the Tories have spent years cosying up to Farage. I have made clear the only way to deal with Farage is to confront him, which is what we will do in Scotland, and to take a different approach.”
A Reform UK spokesperson described the Conservative Party was in “terminal decline” and said Farage’s party had become “the real opposition to Labour in England, Scotland and Wales”.
“The lesson for future elections is simple,” they added. “If you vote Conservative, you will get Labour. By supporting the Conservatives, you split the Reform UK vote. If you vote Reform UK, you get Reform UK.”
