The survey suggests Reform UK would win 373 seats, exceeding the 326 seat-threshold required for an overall majority in the 650-seat House of Commons.
Lee Anderson is the MP for Ashfield (Image: Getty)
Lee Anderson has trolled politicians including Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, asking: “Are we living rent free inside their heads?” Posting on X, the Reform UK MP for Ashfield also shared a recent poll which suggested his party was on course for a thumping majority at the 2029 general election.
Mr Anderson – himself a former member of both Labour and the Tories – said: “With the Lib Dems, Labour and Conservatives keep moaning about how much coverage @reformparty_uk get – why do they keep talking about us at every opportunity? Are we living rent-free inside their heads?” He also shared a poll graphic which he simply captioned “beautiful”. The poll involved a large group of around 19,500 people across the UK, with data collected over several weeks in a rolling sample to track changes in opinion over time.
Mr Anderson’s jab follows Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer’s condemnation of Reform’s policy to abolish indefinite leave to remain, which he labelled “racist” and “immoral” during the BBC’s Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg – the day before the start of Labour’s annual conference in Liverpool.
Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey also weighed in on September 22 at his party’s conference, claiming a Reform government risks turning Britain into “Trump’s America”.
The survey, conducted by More in Common from August 8 to September 15, 2025, claims Reform UK would win 373 seats, exceeding the 326-seat majority threshold in the 650-seat House of Commons.
It projects Labour with just 69 seats, the Conservatives with 90, and the Liberal Democrats with 41.
Such a result would likely reshape the opposition dynamic, with Reform emerging as a key contender.
Sir Keir Starmer at the Labour Party conference in Liverpool (Image: Getty)
The poll’s implications are significant, especially given Mr Anderson’s 2024 defection from the Conservatives to Reform, a move that signalled the party’s growing appeal.
Sir Keir’s Labour, holding 411 seats post-2024, faces mounting pressure as Reform gains media traction.
A separate MRP poll indicates 62% of voters believe Labour should prioritise its own agenda over attacking rivals, highlighting Sir Keir’s challenge in regaining public trust amid economic stagnation and NHS waiting list concerns.
The policy, which could lead to deportations of legal residents, has been a flashpoint, with Sir Keir linking it to societal division.
Reform’s Zia Yusuf responded on Monday, calling Sir Keir’s remarks a “desperate deflection” and criticising Labour’s governance record, urging a focus on economic priorities over immigration rhetoric.
His comments reflect internal party polling suggesting voter openness to the Lib Dems, though Reform’s rise threatens to siphon off protest votes traditionally split with the Conservatives.
Experts have cautioned that the 373-seat figure may reflect an optimistic model or data misinterpretation, given Reform’s limited parliamentary base.
However, the poll underscores Reform’s momentum, driven by figures like Nigel Farage and defections from traditional parties.
As the political row intensifies, Mr Anderson’s question exposes the establishment’s struggle to counter Reform’s narrative, with further polling data expected to clarify the party’s standing ahead of potential by-elections or a snap election.
