Beleaguered Prime Minister could leave No 10 this year, with Wes Streeting the current favourite to replace him
William Hill has 8/13 odds on Keir Starmer resigning in 2026 (Image: Getty)
Sir Keir Starmer is odds-on to quit as Prime Minister this year – and is most likely to go by the end of June, according to bookmakers. William Hill is now offering odds of 8/13, a 62% chance, that Sir Keir will resign in 2026.
The period of April to June 2026 is favoured as his time of exit with odds of 9/4, followed by the July to September 2026 period, with odds of 4/1. Health and Social Care Secretary Wes Streeting is favourite to be the next prime minister at 7/2, with former deputy prime minister Angela Rayner next in at 9/2 and Nigel Farage priced at 5/1. Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves is also odds-on at 4/9 to leave her position in 2026.
Donald Trump is only 3/1 to stand down as US president in 2026, suggesting he will outlast Sir Keir. And bookies are offering odds of 7/4 that Trump will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026.
But Remainers are in for a miserable 2026, with the odds of a new referendum on EU membership at 100/1.
William Hill spokesman Lee Phelps said: “We could see more major changes in the political landscape in 2026, and with Keir Starmer increasingly under pressure, we make it odds-on that the current Prime Minister doesn’t see out the year in office.
“He’s 8/13 to resign before the end of 2026, with the period of April – June, encompassing the Spring Budget and UK local elections, the favoured time (9/4) that we could see a change of leadership.
“Rachel Reeves could also follow Starmer out of office in 2026, and we make the Chancellor even more likely to depart in the next 12 months at 4/9.”
Sir Keir issued a plea for support in a television interview this weekend, as he warned Labour MPs that plotting against their leader would help Reform UK led by Nigel Farage.
He said: “What I don’t think will help us is if a Labour Government turns into – or turns back to the chaos of the last Tory Government, that would gift Nigel Farage.”
The Prime Minister insisted Britain will turn a corner in 2026, as he made his first visit of the year to meet members of the public.
Speaking at a community centre in Reading, the Prime Minister made reference to the US operation in Venezuela over the weekend, but acknowledged people had other day-to-day priorities.
He said: “I always remind myself that for you and millions of people across this country, what matters more than anything is the cost of living.”
Sir Keir added: “2026 is the year that we’re going to be turning a corner where – when we say we want national renewal of the country, and we do – it becomes a reality, and people begin to feel the difference in their pockets, in the ability to pay the bill.”
