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Full list of 190 seats Labour could lose after Keir Starmer’s attack on countryside

Farmer’s protest Keir Starmer’s outing at home development

A Labour peer has warned Keir Starmer he risks “turning the countryside into a no-go zone” for the party with its attack on farmers.

Baroness Ann Mallalieu, president of the Countryside Alliance, suggested Rachel Reeves’ Budget risks “alienating Labour in the countryside”. Some 190 Labour MPs hold seats with at least some part of them being rural, an analysis by her group showed.

Baroness Mallalieu said: “It would be foolish to underestimate the overwhelming public support for our farmers.

“They are part of the national fabric. The recent Budget and the subsequent fall out since then- which has only worsened- risks alienating Labour in the countryside and undoing a huge amount of good work in the years building up to the General Election by Keir Starmer and others. We have been here before as a party and we now risk turning the countryside into a no-go zone for Labour again.

“This would be a disaster and action must be taken to avoid repeating the mistakes of the past. Focus must be on mending the relationship between the Government and farmers and for Whitehall to be seen as doing things for the countryside, rather than just to it.

“Farmers are not going to give up and a long, bitter battle between them and the Government is an incredibly bad look for our party which may once again haunt us for a generation.”

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Nearly 200 of Keir Starmer's MPs are in rural seats

Nearly 200 of Keir Starmer’s MPs are in seats that include rural areas (Image: Getty)

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Several Labour MPs have urged the Government to pause its inheritance tax raid on farmers. Some of Sir Keir’s furious MPs in rural seats formed the Labour Rural Growth Group just before Christmas, the Express understands.

The paper has been told that it was created because individual MPs, especially newer ones, were worried of approaching the Chancellor alone.

The Chancellor in October announced that from April 2026, combined agricultural and business property assets up to £1 million will still receive 100% relief but anything above that will be taxed at an effective rate of 20%.

The Daily Express’s Save Britain’s Family Farms crusade has demanded a U-turn. Tonia Antoniazzi, Labour MP for Gower, said publicly last week she supported he National Farmers Union’s call for a pause on the government’s proposed changes to inheritance tax.

She added: “We need time to gather information to determine the full impact the changes will have to family farms in Wales.”

Speaking during a Westminster Hall debate, David Smith MP asked whether “the relief element of the policy could be recalibrated”.

While Julia Buckley MP (Shrewsbury) asked for “a temporary transitional extension to the taper” so that older farmers could pass assets to the next generation. Labour has been contacted for comment.

Labour has been contacted for comment.

A Government spokeswoman said: “Our commitment to farmers remains steadfast.

“This Government will invest £5 billion into farming over the next two years, the largest budget for sustainable food production in our country’s history. We are going further with reforms to boost profits for farmers by backing British produce and reforming planning rules on farms to support food production.

“Our reform to Agricultural and Business Property Reliefs will mean farmers will pay a reduced inheritance tax rate of 20%, rather than the standard 40% for other businesses, and payments can be spread over 10 years, interest-free. This is a fair and balanced approach, which fixes the public services we all rely on, affecting around 500 estates a year.”

Full list of 190 Labour seats at risk because of Keir Starmer’s attack on the countryside

  1. Oldham East and Saddleworth
  2. North Durham
  3. Weston-super-Mare
  4. Lothian East
  5. North Somerset
  6. Runcorn and Helsby
  7. Buckingham and Bletchley
  8. Gower
  9. Lowestoft
  10. Reading West and Mid Berkshire
  11. St Helens North
  12. Glenrothes and Mid Fife
  13. Corby and East Northamptonshire
  14. Paisley and Renfrewshire South
  15. Forest of Dean
  16. Redditch
  17. Hartlepool
  18. Ossett and Denby Dale
  19. Worthing West
  20. Mid Derbyshire
  21. Rhondda and Ogmore
  22. Shrewsbury
  23. Hertford and Stortford
  24. North Ayrshire and Arran
  25. Chester North and Neston
  26. Penrith and Solway
  27. North West Cambridgeshire
  28. York Outer
  29. Nuneaton
  30. Burton and Uttoxeter
  31. Morecambe and Lunesdale
  32. North East Derbyshire
  33. Rossendale and Darwen
  34. Na h-Eileanan an Iar
  35. Milton Keynes North
  36. Scunthorpe
  37. West Lancashire
  38. Colne Valley
  39. Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard
  40. Pontypridd
  41. West Dunbartonshire
  42. Shipley
  43. Hastings and Rye
  44. Dunfermline and Dollar
  45. Rochester and Strood
  46. Tamworth
  47. Ribble Valley
  48. Bridgend
  49. Peterborough
  50. Caerphilly
  51. Amber Valley
  52. Calder Valley
  53. Bolsover
  54. Cramlington and Killingworth
  55. Monmouthshire
  56. South Ribble
  57. City of Durham
  58. Stoke-on-Trent South
  59. South East Cornwall
  60. Central Ayrshire
  61. Clwyd North
  62. Clwyd East
  63. South Norfolk
  64. Wycombe
  65. Llanelli
  66. North West Leicestershire
  67. Stalybridge and Hyde
  68. Neath and Swansea East
  69. South Dorset
  70. North East Hertfordshire
  71. Pendle and Clitheroe
  72. Macclesfield
  73. Luton South and South Bedfordshire
  74. Loughborough
  75. Bangor Aberconwy
  76. Scarborough and Whitby
  77. Southport
  78. Stafford
  79. Falkirk
  80. Swindon North
  81. South West Norfolk
  82. Newcastle-under-Lyme
  83. Rochdale
  84. Kilmarnock and Loudoun
  85. Warwick and Leamington
  86. Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare
  87. Ashford
  88. Stirling and Strathallan
  89. Aberafan Maesteg
  90. Truro and Falmouth
  91. WellingBorough and Rushden
  92. Aylesbury
  93. Blyth and Ashington
  94. St Austell and Newquay
  95. Alloa and Grangemouth
  96. Heywood and Middleton North
  97. Whitehaven and Workington
  98. Stevenage
  99. Selby
  100. Bolton West
  101. Leeds East
  102. Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West
  103. East Renfrewshire
  104. Broxtowe
  105. Sittingbourne and Sheppey
  106. Coatbridge and Bellshill
  107. Midlothian
  108. Doncaster North
  109. Carlisle
  110. Camborne and Redruth
  111. Mid Cheshire
  112. Newport East
  113. Hexham
  114. Easington
  115. Cumbernauld and Kirkintilloch
  116. Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland
  117. Rushcliffe
  118. Pontefract, Castleford and Knottingley
  119. Dartford
  120. Vale of Glamorgan
  121. Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke
  122. Sefton Central
  123. South Derbyshire
  124. Warrington North
  125. North East Somerset and Hanham
  126. Stroud
  127. Warrington South
  128. Rawmarsh and Conisbrough
  129. Doncaster Central
  130. Barnsley North
  131. Newport West and Islwyn
  132. High Peak
  133. Welwyn Hatfield
  134. Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme
  135. Livingston
  136. Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket
  137. Isle of Wight West
  138. Wrexham
  139. Darlington
  140. East Kilbride and Strathaven
  141. Crewe and Nantwich
  142. Wigan
  143. Cannock Chase
  144. Rother Valley
  145. Suffolk Coastal
  146. Lichfield
  147. Chatham and Aylesford
  148. Bishop Auckland
  149. Congleton
  150. Wirral West
  151. Gedling
  152. Barrow and Furness
  153. Rugby
  154. Barnsley South
  155. Lancaster and Wyre
  156. North Northumberland
  157. Houghton and Sunderland South
  158. Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney
  159. East Worthing and Shoreham
  160. Burnley
  161. Airdrie and Shotts
  162. Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock
  163. Hitchin
  164. Newton Aycliffe and Spennymoor
  165. Gravesham
  166. Bathgate and Linlithgow
  167. Alyn and Deeside
  168. Dover and Deal
  169. North Warwickshire and Bedworth
  170. Hyndburn
  171. Penistone and Stocksbridge
  172. Normanton and Hemsworth
  173. Mid and South Pembrokeshire
  174. Redcar
  175. Hemel Hempstead
  176. Blaydon and Consett
  177. Folkestone and Hythe
  178. Harlow
  179. Hamilton and Clyde Valley
  180. Cowdenbeath and Kirkcaldy
  181. Erewash
  182. Sherwood Forest
  183. Widnes and Halewood
  184. Derbyshire Dales
  185. Bassetlaw
  186. Leeds North West
  187. Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr
  188. Banbury
  189. Kettering
  190. Mansfield.

By Mo Metcalf-Fisher, external affairs director at the Countryside Alliance

Labour spent a great deal of time and energy before the last general election wooing rural voters.

Keir Starmer heroically pledged to ‘roll up his sleeves’ and restore ‘respect’ with the countryside.

It paid off. The party gained a record number of seats in rural areas, constituencies that had for many years been seen as completely unwinnable.

But no sooner had these new MPs ordered office furniture, did Rachel Reeves reveal her infamous plan for a tax hike on family farms.

The changes will mean many farmers will have to sell land or shut down altogether just to meet the eye-wateringly high tax bill. Despite repeated calls for a rethink, Rachel Reeves and Keir Starmer have refused to listen. Pride and ego have trumped reason and common sense.

The behaviour and treatment of farming group leaders by the Treasury in last week’s meeting between the two sides to find a way forward out of the mess, has only made matters worse.

The Government is on cloud cuckoo land if it thinks its self-induced headache with farmers is going away. This is a major problem for Labour, because the public, as polls repeatedly show, are on the side of farmers.

Even Labour’s own voters detest the damaging family farm tax, which threatens national food security. Farmers are getting more organised and their campaign methods increasingly sophisticated.

There are no doubt many Labour MPs representing rural areas who are equally as appalled as the rest of the countryside at the Government’s handling of this sorry saga.

They too must feel they have been thrown under the bus. But they need to speak up, work together and be counted.

Farmers, who are fighting for their existence, are preparing for a long battle. The question to those MPs is which side are you on?

 

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