Boris Johnson trails behind Nigel Farage in popularity in the Red Wall, according to new polling. The survey of voters in the Midlands and northern England put the Reform UK leader on 27%.

Former prime minister Mr Johnson, who has been at the centre of ongoing comeback speculation since he was forced out of No 10, was 15 points behind on 12%. However, the charismatic ex-premier was ahead of Tory leader Kemi Badenoch, who was on 8%. Shadow Justice Secretary Robert Jenrick, widely seen as a potential frontrunner to replace Mrs Badenoch, was on 3%.

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Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer was on 24% in the research by Merlin Strategy.

The company’s founder, Scarlett Maguire, said the findings show the challenges the Tories face in the traditional Labour strongholds that fell to Mr Johnson at the 2019 General Election.

She told GB News: “All three Conservative big beasts fall short of Nigel Farage in the Red Wall.

“Boris Johnson does best but is only narrowly ahead of Kemi Badenoch and some way behind Farage as first choice for prime minister. Robert Jenrick is behind them both.

“There will be a lot of work to be done if Badenoch is replaced. Even the return of Boris Johnson does not look to be enough to lift them out of third place at this moment in time.”

It comes as Reform rides high in national opinion polls following its victories in the local elections.

Mr Farage, the MP for Clacton, insisted at a press conference in London on Tuesday that he could become the next prime minister.

Responding to a question about whether a party could go from a handful of MPs to a parliamentary majority, he said: “History would suggest the answer to your question is no. Circumstances would suggest the answer is yes.

“Something extraordinary is happening – the collapse of confidence in two political parties that are pretty much merged.”